public Japan • 3 min read Is Japan's Carry-Trade Earthquake Over Yet? This morning, US stocks and bonds were quick to price in Japan's stock market carnage overnight. Tokyo'…
paid Consumer • 2 min read Giving Credit To The Consumer The strength of the US consumer has underpinned much of the current bull market in stocks. In recent months, rising…
public Productivity • 1 min read SLOOS Shows Looser Credit Conditions The Fed may not be as almighty as Fed officials believe. The FOMC has raised the federal funds rate aggressively…
paid Banks • 2 min read Banking Crisis May Be Abating We've previously observed that any day without a banking crisis is a good day for stocks. SVB imploded…
public Fed • 3 min read On the Lookout for a Bank Credit Crunch The Silicon Valley Bank imploded on Friday, March 10. To avert a widespread bank run, the Fed announced, on Sunday,…
public banking • 2 min read Fed Backstops the Banks The Fed has the banks' backsides covered. The Fed can't insure deposits, but it can guarantee that…
paid S&P 500 • 2 min read April Is Coming April is the second best month of the year for the stock market. From 1928 through 2022, the S&…
paid banking • 2 min read A Wave of Bank Mergers Ahead The FDIC started to do its job immediately after it seized Silicon Valley Bank (SVB). The regulator transferred all SVB…