Cyclical Indicators

ECONOMIC WEEK AHEAD: April 21-25

Apr 21, 2025 3 min read

This week's data are likely to confirm that consumer sentiment (Fri) remained sour this month. The housing market is unlikely to have thawed last month given that mortgage rates remain high and building costs will increase with tariffs and a shortage of immigrant labor. Even some incremental good news on durable goods orders (Thu) would likely be chalked up to tariff front-running, especially as we expect regional Fed

Ed Yardeni

The Economic Week Ahead: October 21-25

Oct 20, 2024 3 min read paid

The economic week ahead will provide updates on the overall economy, manufacturing, and housing. Last week's jobless claims (Thu) will also be important for gauging how significant bad weather and worker strikes impacted the labor market. We expect more upside surprises during the current earnings season for Q3. The Nasdaq is likely to rise to a new record high before the end of the month and is currently

Ed Yardeni

The Week Ahead: October 16-20

Oct 15, 2023 2 min read paid

The big banks kicked off the Q3 earnings season this past Friday. Their results beat expectations. That's consistent with our view that S&P 500 operating earnings per share rose to a record high during Q3. So we have nothing to fear other than higher interest rates, a consumer-led recession, persistent inflation, and more horror in Ukraine and now the Middle East too. The week's

Ed Yardeni

The Economic Week Ahead: June 20-23

Jun 18, 2023 2 min read

It's a short and light week for economic data. We'll be focusing on May's Composite Cyclical Indicators (Thu). The index of Coincident Economic Indicators (CEI) is the best monthly indicator of the business cycle. It tracks the y/y growth rate of real GDP very closely (chart). It was up 1.7% y/y during April, while real GDP rose 1.6% during Q1.

Ed Yardeni

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ECONOMIC WEEK AHEAD: April 21-25

The Economic Week Ahead: October 21-25

The Week Ahead: October 16-20

The Economic Week Ahead: June 20-23