Video Webcasts

WEEKLY WEBCAST: Geniuses Of Stablecoin

Nov 12, 2025 1 min read paid

Now that the GENIUS Act has established a framework for stablecoin issuance with safeguards for consumers, we expect stablecoin usage to proliferate. Because stablecoins are backed by liquid assets such as Treasury bills, their proliferation is likely to affect bond market dynamics. Because stablecoins can be used for transactions, they’re likely to shrink the markets for other cryptocurrencies that can’t be, like bitcoin. Because stablecoins are a new

Ed Yardeni

WEEKLY WEBCAST: Powell’s Swan Song

Nov 5, 2025 1 min read paid

The data-dependent Fed is operating as well as possible without the usual economic data releases from government agencies during the shutdown. The shutdown is the latest in a series of unusual challenges Jerome Powell has navigated admirably as Fed chair. When his term ends in May, he’ll no doubt be replaced by a Trump loyalist, who undoubtedly will push the FOMC’s other voting members to provide easy monetary

Ed Yardeni

WEEKLY WEBCAST: Inflation: 3.0% Is The New 2.0%

Oct 29, 2025 1 min read paid

The Fed Put is back. Given the likelihood of two more reductions in the federal funds rate before year-end, we’re reducing the odds of our bullish base-case Roaring 2020s scenario from 55% to 50% and raising the odds of an even more bullish stock market meltup from 25% to 30%. Indeed, the stock market jumped Friday in reaction to a cooler-than-expected inflation report, since it buoys the case for

Ed Yardeni

WEEKLY WEBCAST: Halloween Is Coming

Oct 22, 2025 1 min read paid

Investors’ panic attack Thursday was another of many short-lived frights that haunt bull runs. Our economic analyses help us spot the difference between panic-generated minor pullbacks and scarier downturns like corrections and bear markets. Corrections tend to occur when investors fear a recession that doesn’t happen. Bear markets tend to be caused by recessions. Currently, the economy remains resilient, and a recession is unlikely, in our opinion. Plenty of

Ed Yardeni

WEEKLY WEBCAST: Trump Trade Turmoil, Again

Oct 15, 2025 1 min read paid

The latest US–China aggressions have the financial markets worried about the high stakes of a trade war between the globe’s biggest trading nation and its largest economy. William observes that a disruption to global supply chains would have adverse consequences for earnings, economic growth, and central banks’ pursuit of their mandates. But given the severity of the consequences, we expect a quick de-escalation of the tensions, with both

Ed Yardeni

WEEKLY WEBCAST: Still Roaring

Oct 8, 2025 1 min read paid

Sunshine during my tour of the West Coast and in the stock market last week. But everyone’s on the lookout for signs of an AI bubble. Jeff Bezos has a positive take on bubbles that makes sense to us: They accelerate funding and hasten AI’s tremendous benefits. Revisiting the BRAIN Revolution and our long-standing confidence in technology and its positive impact on the economy. … Also: Pandemics, tangled supply

Ed Yardeni

WEEKLY WEBCAST: Meet Bonnie

Oct 1, 2025 1 min read paid

Our Roaring 2020s outlook has been on target since the beginning of the decade. Over the past two quarters, GDP growth and consumer spending have been robust, and the recession widely anticipated for three years and as recently as April never showed. The Fed’s September interest-rate cut—made proactively in response to weak payroll stats—was probably a mistake that could stoke price inflation and financial speculation. While unemployment

Ed Yardeni

WEEKLY WEBCAST: Is The Fed’s Policy Restrictive?

Sep 24, 2025 1 min read

The Fed’s 25-basis-point cut in the federal funds rate last week doesn’t change our S&P 500 price targets or our subjective probabilities of a meltup (25% odds) or correction (20%) by year-end. Today, Dr Ed explores the reactions to the rate cut in the markets for stocks, bonds, the dollar, and gold as well as the significant takeaways from the FOMC’s September 17 meeting. Notably,

Ed Yardeni

WEEKLY WEBCAST: An Open Letter to Scott Bessent

Sep 17, 2025 1 min read paid

A recent article by Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent takes aim at the Fed for its use of unconventional monetary tools and its mission creep. Today, Dr Ed addresses the Treasury secretary in an open letter, detailing where they agree and diverge on the Fed’s role and what monetary and fiscal policies are needed to sustain the Roaring 2020s scenario that both support. While an original aim of the Fed

Ed Yardeni

WEEKLY WEBCAST: The Good, The (Not So) Bad & The (Relatively) Ugly

Sep 10, 2025 1 min read paid

Our Roaring 2020s economic scenario and expectations for inflation and the labor market suggest that the Fed probably shouldn’t cut interest rates this year, although one cut might be warranted if upcoming inflation reports are more subdued than we expect. Yet a rate cut next week, after the FOMC meets Wednesday, is practically a foregone conclusion. Stimulating an economy that doesn’t need stimulation won’t create more workers

Ed Yardeni

WEEKLY WEBCAST: What Could Possibly Go Wrong (with special guest Jim Lucier of Capital Alpha)

Sep 3, 2025 1 min read paid

September has a long history of being a tough month for the stock market. This has been particularly true over the past decade, based on the average year-to-date percentage change in the S&P 500 during Septembers (chart). But when September was weak in the past, it often provided buying opportunities for year-end rallies. ❇️Exclusive Early Access for Paid Members: Below, you'll find Dr. Ed's

Ed Yardeni

WEEKLY WEBCAST: The Chair Has Spoken

Aug 27, 2025 1 min read

Fed Chair Powell’s eagerly awaited speech at the Fed’s Jackson Hole Symposium on Friday fanned stock investors’ hope that the FOMC would lower the federal funds rate in September—despite Powell’s hedges and the fact that upcoming data releases will figure into the decision. Notably absent in his speech was mention of the Fed’s need to maintain financial system stability if it is to achieve either

Ed Yardeni

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