Video Webcasts

Dr Ed's Video Webcast 3/12/25

Mar 12, 2025 1 min read paid

High Noise-To-Signal Ratios Unnerving Stock Investors It’s getting harder to make out the shape of the economy through the fog of Trump 2.0’s firings and tariffs. Indeed, one regional Fed bank sees real GDP contracting this quarter, another sees it expanding, and bad weather has distorted signals from several economic indicators. No wonder the stock market’s default position is risk-off and stocks have been correcting. We’

Ed Yardeni
Eric Wallerstein

Dr Ed's Video Webcast 3/5/25

Mar 5, 2025 1 min read paid

Testing The Resilience Of The US Economy We continue to bet on the resilience of the American economy. Yes, the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow model lowered its Q1 GDP forecast significantly on Friday. The volatile model swung in response to January’s surge in imported goods ahead of Trump’s tariffs. In addition, consumer spending was depressed by a colder-than-usual January, but consumer spending and the model are bound to

Ed Yardeni
Eric Wallerstein

Dr Ed's Video Webcast 2/26/25

Feb 26, 2025 1 min read paid

A Tale Of Woes While Ed and Eric have been accentuating the positives in the stock market outlook and also acknowledging the negatives, investors and many commentators seem suddenly to be doing the opposite. Today, Ed outlines both the concerns that dragged the stock market off its midweek record high last week and our base-case Roaring 2020s scenario (55% subjective odds). Even if a 1990s-style meltup was followed by a

Ed Yardeni
Eric Wallerstein

Dr Ed's Video Webcast 2/19/25

Feb 19, 2025 1 min read paid

The Gunfight At DOGE City The Bond Vigilantes aren’t saddling up just yet, but they’re on high alert, Ed reports. They’re watching to see whether anti-DOGE gunslingers will cripple the new federal department or whether DOGE will root out sufficient government inefficiencies to enable Trump 2.0 to slow the budget deficit’s growth and proceed on its tax-cut plans. The stakes are high for the US

Ed Yardeni
Eric Wallerstein

Dr Ed's Video Webcast 2/12/25

Feb 12, 2025 1 min read paid

Anatomy Of Full Employment When others saw labor market weakening last summer, we saw normalization from the settling down of pandemic-period churn. Our labor market outlook remains constructive. The growth of the labor force should continue to slow, but demand for workers will remain strong, keeping the labor market needle at full employment. Strong productivity gains from widespread AI adoption and a full-employment labor market should spur robust real wage

Ed Yardeni
Eric Wallerstein

Dr Ed's Video Webcast 2/5/25

Feb 5, 2025 1 min read paid

Anatomy Of Gross National Product Why is the US economy so strong? Look in the mirror: The consumer is the engine of growth. Yes, technological advancements will continue to buoy GDP, as will Trump 2.0 deregulation and lower taxes. But consumer spending accounts for nearly 70% of real GDP. We reject the notion that consumer spending will slow in the face of depleted saving and other drags; it’s

Ed Yardeni
Eric Wallerstein

Dr Ed's Video Webcast 1/29/25

Jan 29, 2025 1 min read paid

Anatomy Of The Bull Market (Will DeepSeek Sink It?) The current bull market has been driven mostly by valuation expansion; now valuation is historically high. We expect earnings growth to perpetuate the bull market this year; any more valuation expansion could leave the market vulnerable to a meltdown. Our year-end target for the S&P 500 is 7000, based on a solid rise in earnings with no further valuation

Ed Yardeni
Eric Wallerstein

Dr Ed's Video Webcast 1/22/25

Jan 22, 2025 1 min read paid

Expectations for more rate cuts this year than previously expected buoyed both bond and stock markets last week. The prior week was bad for both markets as rate-cut expectations diminished. But last Thursday’s comments by Fed Governor Waller that fueled the turnaround were wrong-headed, in our opinion. If inflation follows the course he expects down to 2.0%, the Fed’s dual mandate would be achieved so it wouldn’

Ed Yardeni
Eric Wallerstein

Dr Ed's Video Webcast 1/15/25

Jan 15, 2025 1 min read paid

The financial markets have been recalibrating their expectations for monetary policy since the FOMC’s December meeting and their expectations for economic changes under the incoming Trump 2.0 administration since Election Day. In this context, Friday’s strong employment report only served to cement investors’ sense that the Fed should pause its easing. Both bond and stock markets reacted like the sky was falling. We’re not surprised by

Ed Yardeni
Eric Wallerstein

Dr Ed's Video Webcast 1/8/25

Jan 8, 2025 1 min read paid

The January Barometer and January Effect have been interesting statistical regularities that may not have much investment usefulness. It’s better to stay in the stock market whatever the month brings than to try and execute exits and entrances based on the calendar. Over time, the market has a bullish bias, which is why we do too. … Today, Dr Ed lists what could go right for the stock market this

Ed Yardeni
Eric Wallerstein

Dr Ed's Video Webcast 1/1/25

Jan 1, 2025 paid

Ed and Eric look forward to the new year. ❇️Exclusive Early Access for Paid Members: Below, you'll find Dr. Ed's latest webcast. Paid members can enjoy immediate access to the video. This content will become available to the public at a later date—don't miss out on early insights, consider upgrading today!

Ed Yardeni
Eric Wallerstein

Dr Ed's Video Webcast 12/25/24

Dec 25, 2024 paid