Yardeni QuickTakes (Page 4)

ECONOMIC WEEK AHEAD: January 20–23

Jan 19, 2026 3 min read

This is one of those be-ready-for-anything weeks as wildcards abound for both US and global markets—most of them POTUS-related. Investors will be glued to screens for any news involving the Justice Department's investigation of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. In addition, on Wednesday, the Supreme Court hears arguments over Trump's attempt to fire Fed Governor Lisa Cook. Tariff developments could come fast and furious, following

Ed Yardeni
William Pesek

MARKET CALL: So Far, So Good For Our Rebalancing Call

Jan 18, 2026 5 min read

Last year, in the December 7 QT, we wrote: "It no longer makes much sense for us to continue recommending overweighting the Information Technology and Communication Services sectors in an S&P 500 portfolio .... The same can be said about overweighting the United States in the All Country World MSCI portfolio." It was time to rebalance, in our opinion, because the two sectors accounted for a remarkable

Ed Yardeni

DEEP DIVE: 2025 Was Another Good Year For The Roaring 2020s!

Jan 17, 2026 7 min read

The following is an excerpt from our Morning Briefing dated January 12, 2025. US Economy I: Productivity Is Roaring Last week was a very good one for our Roaring 2020s scenario. That’s because last week’s batch of economic data supported our productivity-led economic boom narrative. Real GDP growth was very strong during the last three quarters of 2025. The growth rate of employment slowed dramatically. As a result,

Ed Yardeni

Dr Copper Is Bullish On 2026

Jan 15, 2026 3 min read

Denmark (responsible for Greenland's defense), Germany, France, Sweden, and Norway have confirmed plans to deploy military personnel to the sparsely populated island this week for a joint military exercise. These NATO members are preparing to repel a US invasion of Greenland. We wish we were kidding. A much less far-fetched scenario is that China will invade Taiwan. The stock market isn't taking either scenario seriously. Taiwan

Ed Yardeni

US Economy & Earnings Ended 2025 Very Strongly

Jan 14, 2026 3 min read paid

Oil prices fell more than 1% today after President Donald Trump signaled he might not attack Iran. Late in the day, Trump told reporters in the Oval Office that "we've been told that the killing in Iran is stopping. It's stopped. It's stopping, and there's no plan for executions." The price of a barrel of Brent crude oil was down

Ed Yardeni

WEEKLY WEBCAST: 2025 Was A Great Year For The Roaring 2020s

Jan 14, 2026 1 min read paid

Last year was a picture-perfect rendering of our Roaring 2020s scenario in action. Economic growth soared on the shoulders of a productivity boom. Dr Ed expects more of the same through the decade’s end and possibly beyond. That should set the stage for excellent earnings growth, supporting our S&P 500 target of 10,000 by the end of the decade. Today, he explains why even recent labor

Ed Yardeni

It's Been A Long Year Already

Jan 13, 2026 3 min read paid

Ed Yardeni

Banking On Banks

Jan 12, 2026 3 min read paid

The stock prices of banks and credit card companies fell today after President Donald Trump announced late Friday that credit card companies would be subject to a 10% cap on the interest rates they can charge customers. The President proposed a one-year cap on interest rates starting January 20. The Trump administration is scrambling to address the affordability crisis before this year's midterm elections. We expect that the

Ed Yardeni

MARKET CALL: Earnings Powering The Bull Market

Jan 11, 2026 3 min read paid

The Q4-2025 earnings reporting season starts with the big banks this week. They are likely to deliver solid earnings, as loan demand is growing, net interest margins are widening, loan losses are manageable, and investment banking is booming. Other S&P 500 industries are also likely to deliver very good results. Indeed, we expect S&P 500 companies’ aggregate revenues per share, earnings per share, and profit margin

Ed Yardeni

ECONOMIC WEEK AHEAD: January 12–16

Jan 11, 2026 3 min read

If economists did weather reports, this week's forecast would call for a data blizzard. Yet visibility should improve as the markets get much-anticipated readings on inflation, retail sales, and industrial production ahead of the Fed's next policy meeting on January 28. Few economists expect Fed Chair Jerome Powell and the rest of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) to ease monetary policy again later this month.

Ed Yardeni

DEEP DIVE: US Economy Is Gen-Shaped, Not K-Shaped

Jan 9, 2026 4 min read

This is an excerpt from our January 5, 2026 Morning Briefing. The US economy's resilience is attributable primarily to robust consumer spending despite widespread concerns that rising prices have squeezed the purchasing power of lower-income consumers. As a result, many economists have warned that the so-called “K-shaped” economy isn’t sustainable. How can the economy continue to grow if more households are confronting an “affordability crisis”? Surely, it

Ed Yardeni

Roaring Productivity Versus AI Bubble

Jan 8, 2026 2 min read

Relax: The AI bubble is the cover story in the latest BloombergBusinessweek (image). From a contrarian perspective, that's bullish because it signals that the bubble won't burst, if it even exists. We have AI Fatigue. We recently recommended underweighting the Magnificent-7 because their AI arms race is forcing them to spend heavily on AI infrastructure that could become obsolete quickly and that could be unprofitable as

Ed Yardeni

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