Ed Yardeni

The Buffett Ratio Remains High

May 12, 2022 2 min read

The Buffett Ratio rose to new record highs at the end of last year. In the past, Warren Buffett has opined that the stock market was overvalued when the ratio of the market capitalization of US equites to nominal GDP rose to around 2.0 or higher.

Ed Yardeni

Corrections Now & Then

May 11, 2022 2 min read

The S&P 500 is down 18.0% since it peaked at a record high on January 3. The current selloff is reminiscent of the 19.8% correction during the last three months of 2018 through Christmas Eve.

Ed Yardeni

Bull-Bear Ratio Remains Below 1.00

May 11, 2022 1 min read

The Investors Intelligence Bull/Bear Ratio (BBR) fell further below 1.00, to 0.68, during the May 10 week.

Ed Yardeni

S&P 500’s Tug-of-War Between Investors & Industry Analysts

May 10, 2022 1 min read

The meltdown in forward P/Es continued yesterday, while forward earnings continued to scale new heights.

Ed Yardeni

Dr Ed's Weekly Webinar 5/9/22

May 9, 2022 1 min read

We concur with Fed Chair Powell that getting inflation back to Earth needn’t crash our strong, liquid economy. The Bond Vigilantes aren’t as far behind the inflation curve as the Fed:

Ed Yardeni

A Short-Lived P/E-Led Bear Market?

May 8, 2022 2 min read

Are we heading toward a P/E-led bear market even though earnings continue to grow?

Ed Yardeni

More Air Coming Out Of Valuation Multiples

May 7, 2022 2 min read

The air continued to come out of stock valuation multiples this past week. It has mostly been coming out of the S&P 500 Growth index’s MegaCap-8—i.e., Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Meta, Microsoft, Netflix, Nvidia, and Tesla. Consider the following:

Ed Yardeni

DEEP DIVE: Inflation Tends To Be Spikey

May 7, 2022 3 min read paid

Why is the 10-year Treasury bond yield only around 3.00% when the latest headline CPI and PCED inflation rates were 8.5% y/y and 6.6% y/y? Why would bond investors willingly lock in such a painful negative real return?

Ed Yardeni

Inflation Showing First Signs of Peaking

May 6, 2022 2 min read paid

We are on the lookout for signs that inflation might be peaking. It’s hard to find any when we look at the price and wage data on a y/y basis. However, there are hopeful signs in numerous 3-month percent changes at annual rates. Consider the following:

Ed Yardeni

The S&P 500 Remains In a Correction

May 5, 2022 1 min read

“Ugly” is the only way to describe today’s stock market selloff. The S&P 500 is down 13.5% ytd since it set a record high on January 3. So it’s still in correction territory. It dropped 3.6% today, but that was after a 3.0% jump the day before.

Ed Yardeni

Some Bad & Good News On Unit Labor Costs

May 5, 2022 1 min read

Contributing to the stock market selloff today was more bad news on the inflation front. Nonfarm business (NFB) productivity dropped 7.5% (saar) during Q1. It wasn’t as bad on a y/y basis, falling just 0.6%. It’s a very volatile series on a q/q basis and even on a y/y basis.