Toby Hearst

Healthcare: Pockets Of Alpha

Jun 21, 2026 4 min read

We recommend a market-weight position in the S&P 500 Health Care sector. It is down 3.8% ytd, the worst among all 11 S&P 500 sectors, and remains one of the clear laggards of the bull market that began in October 2022 (chart). That underperformance has created selective opportunities. The aggregate sector still lacks a near-term earnings catalyst, carries the second-lowest forward profit

Ed Yardeni
Toby Hearst

ECONOMIC WEEK AHEAD: June 22-26

Jun 21, 2026 4 min read

The US economic calendar is mostly quiet this week, but Thursday packs a heavy data load: final Q1-2026 GDP, May PCED, May durable goods orders, and weekly jobless claims. Lots of Fedspeak will be provided by FOMC participants this week. They will not lack for opinions to compare with those Fed Chair Warsh expressed in his debut presser last week. Globally, the Bank of Canada's Tiff Macklem

Ed Yardeni
Toby Hearst

GLOBAL MARKET CALL: The Fog Of War Is Lifting

Jun 21, 2026 3 min read

As we’ve flagged in recent weeks, an end to the conflict in the Middle East should see many foreign stock markets outperform the US. Lower oil prices reduce global inflationary pressures, give central banks room to ease policy, and tend to benefit oil-importing economies, particularly in emerging markets, more than the US, which exports oil. Last week’s tape delivered exactly that, with Asia leading the Go Global

Ed Yardeni
Toby Hearst

US MARKET CALL: Is Irrational Exuberance Driving FEMO?

Jun 20, 2026 5 min read

The stock market bubble of the late 1990s was driven by fear of missing out (FOMO) on the tech-led bull market. As a result, the forward P/E of the S&P 500 rose to a record high of 25.0 in early 2000 as the forward P/E of the S&P 500 Information Technology sector soared to a record high of 55.0 (chart). The

Ed Yardeni
Toby Hearst

GLOBAL MARKET CALL: Peace Dividend Should Revive 'Go Global'

Jun 14, 2026 4 min read

The past week was a win for our "Go Global" pivot at the end of last year, as foreign equity markets mostly outperformed the "Stay Home" alternative, i.e., the US stock market. Most of the move came in anticipation of lower oil prices on a possible deal between the US and Iran to end their war. This evening, both sides confirmed that a memorandum of

Ed Yardeni
Toby Hearst

ECONOMIC WEEK AHEAD: June 15-19

Jun 13, 2026 3 min read

The week ahead is dominated by the Fed. Kevin Warsh delivers his first press conference as Fed chair on Wednesday, right after the FOMC releases its policy statement and its Summary of Economic Projections (SEP), which includes the Dot Plot showing meeting participants’ forecasts for the federal funds rate. We expect the Fed to abandon its easing bias and pivot toward a tightening bias. The ECB raised its official rate

Ed Yardeni
Toby Hearst

US MARKET CALL: Roaring 2020s Rockets To Mars & Beyond

Jun 13, 2026 4 min read

"Space: the final frontier. These are the voyages of the starship Enterprise. Its five-year mission: to explore strange new worlds, to seek out new life and new civilizations, to boldly go where no man has gone before!" That's the introduction to Star Trek, the long-running TV series. On Friday, Elon Musk, the CEO of SpaceX, went where no man has gone before. He became

Ed Yardeni
Toby Hearst

MATERIALS: Small Weight, Big Growth

Jun 8, 2026 4 min read paid

We recommend overweighting the S&P 500 Materials sector. The sector accounts for just 1.9% of the S&P 500's market capitalization, so an overweight is cheap to implement, the same logic we applied to our Energy sector recommendation on April 20. S&P 500 Materials is up 9.9% ytd, fifth behind Energy, Information Technology, Industrials, and Real Estate. The stock price index

Ed Yardeni
Toby Hearst

GLOBAL MARKETS CALL: 'Go Global' Getting Fried By Rising Fed Rate Hike Expectations

Jun 7, 2026 4 min read paid

Hot US data are pulling capital flows back home. The US share of the All Country World (ACW) MSCI is at 63.7%, well off the early-2025 peak of 67.4% but firming again. Europe’s share has slipped to 13.8% and Japan’s to 5.0% (chart). Emerging Markets’ share, at 12.3%, is near its cycle high. The ratio of the US MSCI to the ACW

Ed Yardeni
Toby Hearst

US MARKET CALL: June Swoon!

Jun 7, 2026 4 min read paid

On Wednesday, June 3, we titled our QuickTakes "June Swoon?" As it turned out, the question mark should have been an exclamation mark. On Friday, June 5, stocks swooned unmistakably. The S&P 500 closed at 7,383.74, down 2.64%. The Nasdaq and S&P 500 equal-weight indexes fell 4.77% and 1.45%, respectively. The catalyst was a stronger-than-expected payroll

Ed Yardeni
Toby Hearst

ECONOMIC WEEK AHEAD: June 8-12

Jun 7, 2026 4 min read

The week ahead is dominated by inflation prints. The May CPI (Wed) and PPI (Thu) top the calendar. From a consumer perspective, we will also see the NY Fed's consumer inflation expectations survey (Mon) and the University of Michigan’s preliminary sentiment release (Fri). The “Federal Open Mouth Committee” is in the blackout period ahead of next week's committee meeting—i.e., the talking Fed heads

Ed Yardeni
Toby Hearst

Is There Enough IPO Money On Planet Earth To Fund SpaceX?

Jun 1, 2026 4 min read

The mega IPOs are coming. SpaceX is set to go public on June 12, raising $75 billion to $80 billion at a market valuation of up to $1.8 trillion. It will be the largest equity offering in history. Then, Anthropic and OpenAI are expected to go public with market capitalizations of $1 trillion to $1.75 trillion each. Fears are mounting that the "AI-3" IPOs will

Ed Yardeni
Toby Hearst
Joe Abbott

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