
The moment Fed watchers have waited for is finally here—albeit with less drama than many believed a few weeks back. As we've long said, the two-day June Federal Open Market Committee meeting (Tue-Wed) should come and go with the federal funds rate still in the 4.25%-4.50% range that it's been in since December. Even as headline inflation measures appear to moderate, the robust labor market, evidenced by May's 4.2% unemployment rate, leaves Fed Chair Jerome Powell with little urgency to ease.