Public Q3's Earnings Season Is Coming Sep 24, 2025 2 min read Before you know it, September will be over. It is likely to defy the month's reputation of being a bad one for stocks (chart). Instead, the S&P 500 rose to a new record high of 6693.75 on Monday, September 22. October has also experienced some painful stock market setbacks, although the month has often provided good buying opportunities following poor September performances. Q3's Ed Yardeni
Public WEEKLY WEBCAST: Is The Fed’s Policy Restrictive? Sep 24, 2025 1 min read The Fed’s 25-basis-point cut in the federal funds rate last week doesn’t change our S&P 500 price targets or our subjective probabilities of a meltup (25% odds) or correction (20%) by year-end. Today, Dr Ed explores the reactions to the rate cut in the markets for stocks, bonds, the dollar, and gold as well as the significant takeaways from the FOMC’s September 17 meeting. Notably, Ed Yardeni
Public Powell's Irrational Exuberance Moment Sep 23, 2025 2 min read During a speech in Providence, Rhode Island today, Fed Chair Jerome Powell was asked whether he and his colleagues give any weight to the impact of their monetary policies on financial markets. He responded: "We do look at overall financial conditions, and we ask ourselves whether our policies are affecting financial conditions in a way that is what we're trying to achieve.” Then he opined that " Ed Yardeni
Public Investing In The World Sep 22, 2025 3 min read It's a big world with lots of investment opportunities. We continue to favor the United States, but it's hard to overweight the US when it already accounts for 64.7% of the market capitalization of the All Country World (ACW) MSCI (chart). That's up from a low of 42.0% in late 2009. We can also observe the outperformance of the US by tracking Ed Yardeni David Yardeni
Public ECONOMIC WEEK AHEAD: September 22 - 26 Sep 21, 2025 3 min read The week ahead will offer timely clues about both the American consumer and inflation. The economic releases this week might also influence financial market expectations about another Fed rate cut as soon as the October 28-29 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. The federal funds futures market was expecting three 25bps rate cuts over the next six months last week before Thursday's upbeat initial unemployment claims cut the Ed Yardeni William Pesek
Public MARKET CALL: Party Like It's 1999!? Sep 20, 2025 3 min read The DJIA, S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Russell 2000 all rose to record highs this past week. All were boosted by the Fed's decision to cut the federal funds rate by 25bps on Wednesday. Is the stock market back on the road to the same irrational exuberance that inflated the Tech Bubble of 1999, which was followed by the Tech Wreck of the early 2000s? Will the Ed Yardeni
Public Postpartum Impressions Sep 18, 2025 3 min read Please see Dr Ed's op-ed in today's Financial Times titled "Why it might be the time to repeal the Fed’s dual mandate: Should 3% be the US central bank's new inflation target?" As expected by everyone, the FOMC delivered a 25bps cut in the federal funds rate (FFR) yesterday. There was only one dissenter among the FOMC's voting members. Ed Yardeni
Public Fed Cuts By 25 Basis Points, Ho-Hum Sep 17, 2025 2 min read Why didn't stock prices rise today? Why didn't the 10-year US Treasury bond yield fall below 4.00%? Why did the price of gold slip? The financial markets had clearly already fully discounted today's 25-basis-point cut in the federal funds rate. In addition, the FOMC's Dot Plot wasn't as dovish as some market participants might have expected. Seven of 19 Ed Yardeni
Paid WEEKLY WEBCAST: An Open Letter to Scott Bessent Sep 17, 2025 1 min read paid A recent article by Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent takes aim at the Fed for its use of unconventional monetary tools and its mission creep. Today, Dr Ed addresses the Treasury secretary in an open letter, detailing where they agree and diverge on the Fed’s role and what monetary and fiscal policies are needed to sustain the Roaring 2020s scenario that both support. While an original aim of the Fed Ed Yardeni
Paid Like Throwing Gasoline On A Fire Sep 16, 2025 2 min read paid The FOMC is likely to cut the federal funds rate (FFR) by 25bps tomorrow. Among the meeting participants, there might be one or more dissenters to the decision who favor a 50bps cut and one or more dissenters opposed to any cut. The Summary of Economic Projections may also indicate that FOMC participants are divided on whether and when further cuts might be necessary. Tomorrow's rate cut isn& Ed Yardeni
Paid DEEP DIVE: An Open Letter to Scott Bessent Sep 15, 2025 7 min read paid Dear Scott, I Wholeheartedly Agree Thank you for your public service as Secretary of the Treasury of the United States. I read your recent excellent article in The International Economy titled “The Fed’s New ‘Gain-of-Function’ Monetary Policy.” I agree with much of your criticism of the Fed. In addition, I believe that we share the same optimistic “Roaring 2020s” outlook for the US economy, and we both hope that Ed Yardeni
Public ECONOMIC WEEK AHEAD: September 15 - 19 Sep 14, 2025 3 min read Central banks take the spotlight this week as monetary policymakers from Washington to Tokyo cut to the chase on the balance of economic risks. Though the Federal Reserve's two-day meeting (Tue-Wed) is the main event, rate decisions by the Bank of Canada (Wed), the Bank of England (Thu), and the Bank of Japan (Fri) may reveal much about the degree to which US tariffs are disrupting economies around Ed Yardeni William Pesek