Consumers

Retiring Baby Boomers & The G-Shaped Economy

May 26, 2026 5 min read paid

Many economists continue to question the resilience of consumer spending in the US. The naysayers don't believe it's sustainable and continue to expect significant consumer retrenchment. They claim that the economy is "K-shaped," with the wealthiest 10% of households accounting for 50% of all retail spending. Those widely quoted numbers are from Moody's Chief Economist Mark Zandi. They make no sense to

Ed Yardeni
Elias Griepentrog

Power Vacuum In Iran Isn't Fazing US Economy

Apr 21, 2026 4 min read

What if the US won the war, but Iran can't surrender because no one is in charge over there? To make a deal, President Donald Trump needs someone to deal with. He was hoping to strike a deal this week in Islamabad, but the Iranians declined to meet because they are too busy fighting among themselves. Indeed, Trump, today, said that he extended the ceasefire because "the

Ed Yardeni
Elias Griepentrog

From The 'Art Of The Deal' To The 'Concept Of A Deal' In One Day

Jan 21, 2026 3 min read paid

Just yesterday, we wrote that "the latest [stock market] pullback won't last long," partly because we "expect the Greenland issue will be resolved." It seemed resolved this afternoon when President Donald Trump said that he and NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte "formed the framework of a future deal with respect to Greenland." The President told CNBC that "we have a concept

Ed Yardeni

ECONOMIC WEEK AHEAD: January 20–23

Jan 19, 2026 3 min read

This is one of those be-ready-for-anything weeks as wildcards abound for both US and global markets—most of them POTUS-related. Investors will be glued to screens for any news involving the Justice Department's investigation of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. In addition, on Wednesday, the Supreme Court hears arguments over Trump's attempt to fire Fed Governor Lisa Cook. Tariff developments could come fast and furious, following

Ed Yardeni
William Pesek

DEEP DIVE: US Economy Is Gen-Shaped, Not K-Shaped

Jan 9, 2026 4 min read

This is an excerpt from our January 5, 2026 Morning Briefing. The US economy's resilience is attributable primarily to robust consumer spending despite widespread concerns that rising prices have squeezed the purchasing power of lower-income consumers. As a result, many economists have warned that the so-called “K-shaped” economy isn’t sustainable. How can the economy continue to grow if more households are confronting an “affordability crisis”? Surely, it

Ed Yardeni

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Retiring Baby Boomers & The G-Shaped Economy

Power Vacuum In Iran Isn't Fazing US Economy

From The 'Art Of The Deal' To The 'Concept Of A Deal' In One Day

ECONOMIC WEEK AHEAD: January 20–23

DEEP DIVE: US Economy Is Gen-Shaped, Not K-Shaped