Earnings Season

MARKET CALL: Yogi Was Right: 'The War Ain't Over Till It's Over'

Apr 12, 2026 3 min read paid

In his seminal work, On War (1832), Carl von Clausewitz famously wrote: "War is the continuation of politics by other means." The US and Iran agreed to a ceasefire in their war and to talks seeking a diplomatic solution. However, their talks failed, and now they are both resuming the war. On Sunday, US Central Command said the Navy will blockade all maritime traffic entering and exiting Iranian

Ed Yardeni
Toby Hearst

Q3's Earnings Season Is Coming

Sep 24, 2025 2 min read

Before you know it, September will be over. It is likely to defy the month's reputation of being a bad one for stocks (chart). Instead, the S&P 500 rose to a new record high of 6693.75 on Monday, September 22. October has also experienced some painful stock market setbacks, although the month has often provided good buying opportunities following poor September performances. Q3's

Ed Yardeni

Seinfeld Kind Of Summer Day

Jul 8, 2025 3 min read paid

Nothing happened today in the financial markets. The prices of stocks, bonds, the dollar, and oil all were relatively flat. On the other hand, there was more Trump Tariff Turmoil (TTT). But the markets watched it all with as much interest as watching reruns on TV. President Donald Trump huffed and puffed again. The financial markets' reaction was ho-hum. Trump today announced plans to impose a 50% tariff on

Ed Yardeni

The Digital Revolution Marches On As Nvidia Beats

Feb 26, 2025 3 min read paid

Artificial intelligence, and all the capital spending that comes along with it, is here to stay. Nvidia reported today that its sales last quarter rose 78% y/y to $39.3 billion, and management’s revenue guidance of $43.0 billion (+/- 2%) for the current quarter was above the consensus estimate of $41.8 billion. Moreover, the company laid out plans to get its new Blackwell chips to market

Ed Yardeni

Animal Spirits Boosting Capex Plans

Feb 4, 2025 2 min read paid

Google-parent Alphabet’s stock sank 7% after the closing bell today following its Q1 earnings report. That was partly because the company announced much higher 2025 capital expenditures than analysts anticipated. After spending $14.28 billion on CapEx in Q4-2024 (above the consensus estimate of $13.26 billion), Alphabet will spend $75 billion on CapEx during 2025, said CEO Sundar Pichai, mostly on building out its AI-related businesses. That'

Ed Yardeni

MARKET CALL: Momentum Is Hard To Stop

Jan 20, 2025 3 min read paid

The bond and stock markets were closed today for MLK Day. When they reopen tomorrow, we will all be able to assess their initial reactions to Trump 2.0 following today's Inauguration ceremony. The major stock market futures indexes were up all day. Bitcoin soared in the morning, but turned down in the afternoon. Gold and copper prices fell slightly. The dollar sold off after The Wall Street

Ed Yardeni

Another Record Earnings Reporting Season

Dec 9, 2024 2 min read paid

Chocolate and chips were on today's stock market menu. Hershey's stock price soared on a report of another Mondelez takeover attempt. However, the market was weighed down by Nvidia shares, which fell after China opened an investigation over possible violation of antimonopoly law. There was some profit-taking in Tesla during the day following the huge run-up since Election Day. But the stock closed slightly higher. Meanwhile,

Ed Yardeni

An Earnings-Led Meltup For Stocks?

Nov 19, 2024 3 min read paid

We are often asked if the current bull market in stocks has turned into a meltup that could soon be followed by a meltdown. That's a risk we currently give a 25% subjective probability. Relatively high stock valuations are the main worry for many investors (chart). However, our bullish outlook for strong productivity-led economic growth means that earnings rather than valuations can lead the market higher. Coupled with

Ed Yardeni

Big Bank Earnings Are Rip Roaring

Oct 16, 2024 3 min read paid

The third year of the current bull market in stocks got off to a good start this week. It's likely that the Q3 earnings reporting season will be better than expected as suggested by the results reported yesterday and today by some of the major companies in the S&P 500 Financials sector. On Sunday, we wrote that industry analysts expected S&P 500 earnings to

Ed Yardeni

The Economic Week Ahead: August 26-30

Aug 25, 2024 3 min read

This week will include the first clues on the economy's performance in August. We're expecting to see confirmation of ongoing labor market strength in the month's consumer confidence survey (Tue) and initial unemployment claims (Thu). Some of August's improvement should be a bounce back from July's weather-depressed economic activity, which may be reflected in July's personal income release

Ed Yardeni

S&P 500 EPS At Record High During Q2

Aug 12, 2024 3 min read paid

Now that the S&P 500 companies are more than 90% through the Q2 earnings reporting season, let's do a quick check up on how Corporate America is faring. In short, there's no sign of an imminent recession as S&P 500 earnings rose to a record high during Q2. Here's more happy news to serve as a tonic to the geopolitical

Ed Yardeni

An Earnings-Driven Bull Market

Jul 22, 2024 3 min read paid

Yesterday, we suggested that the stock market selloff since the July 16 record high in the S&P 500 might not last very long. So we were pleased by today's broad rally in the S&P 500 (1.1%), Nasdaq (1.6%), Russell 2000 (1.7%), and the MAGS (2.4%). We expect that a solid print in Q2's real GDP on Thursday and

Ed Yardeni

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