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A Growth Recession?
2 min read
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Following today's retail sales and industrial production reports, the Atlanta Fed's GDPNow tracking model revised real GDP growth down to -1.5% (saar) during Q2 from -1.2%. Real consumption spending was lowered from 1.9% to 1.5%, while gross private investment now shows a decline of -13.8% instead of -13.7%. Consider the following:
(1) Retail sales. Adjusted for inflation, retail sales has
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Ed Yardeni