Global Market Call

GLOBAL MARKET CALL: Downgrading Emerging Markets To Market Weight

Jul 19, 2026 4 min read paid

We are downgrading emerging markets to market weight, not because the Go Global thesis is broken but because four separate short-term headwinds are converging at once: (1) The price of oil is back above $80 a barrel as the IRGC keeps the Strait of Hormuz contested. (2) The FOMC is hawkish. With inflation still sticky and a solid labor market, financial markets are currently pricing in one rate hike

Ed Yardeni
Toby Hearst

GLOBAL MARKET CALL: War & Peace & War

Jul 12, 2026 4 min read paid

In our March 4, 2026 QuickTakes, we wrote that the war between the US and Iran might last longer than widely expected. We suggested that any peace deal with Iran's government would effectively be vetoed by the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps simply by their threatening to attack ships sailing through the Strait of Hormuz. "These terrorists are likely to be hard to eradicate with just air power,

Ed Yardeni
Toby Hearst

GLOBAL MARKET CALL: AI Trade Depresses EM Trade

Jul 5, 2026 3 min read paid

Ed Yardeni
Toby Hearst

GLOBAL MARKET CALL: War & Peace

Jun 28, 2026 4 min read paid

During the Napoleonic Wars, British financier Nathan Mayer Rothschild allegedly said: "Buy on the sound of cannons, sell on the sound of trumpets." This has become a legendary contrarian investing maxim. It suggests you should buy stocks when war or panic causes markets to plummet ("cannons"), and sell to lock in profits when peace returns and market euphoria sets in ("trumpets"). The maxim seems

Ed Yardeni
Toby Hearst

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GLOBAL MARKET CALL: Downgrading Emerging Markets To Market Weight

GLOBAL MARKET CALL: War & Peace & War

GLOBAL MARKET CALL: AI Trade Depresses EM Trade

GLOBAL MARKET CALL: War & Peace