Global Market Call

GLOBAL MARKET CALL: Will Yen Yin Or Yang Financial Markets?

Aug 9, 2026 4 min read paid

The Go Global investment strategy has outperformed Stay Home this year, and August has not changed that. Korea and Taiwan are back at the front of the performance rankings to start the month, with China lagging again. Last week, Japan and the US jointly bought yen for the first time since 1998, following its fall to a near 40-year low of around 164 yen per dollar. US Treasury officials

Ed Yardeni
Toby Hearst

GLOBAL MARKET CALL: Damage From AI & War Shocks Has Been Minimal

Aug 2, 2026 4 min read paid

The global economy has been hit by two shocks this year and absorbed them well. The war that started in March pushed oil prices higher and disrupted global supply chains. The AI trade then took a dive in July, with Asian semiconductor stocks hit the hardest. Neither the initial shocks nor the aftershocks seem to have damaged the global economy so far. President Donald Trump said on Saturday that he

Ed Yardeni
Toby Hearst

GLOBAL MARKET CALL: Downgrading Emerging Markets To Market Weight

Jul 19, 2026 4 min read paid

We are downgrading emerging markets to market weight, not because the Go Global thesis is broken but because four separate short-term headwinds are converging at once: (1) The price of oil is back above $80 a barrel as the IRGC keeps the Strait of Hormuz contested. (2) The FOMC is hawkish. With inflation still sticky and a solid labor market, financial markets are currently pricing in one rate hike

Ed Yardeni
Toby Hearst

GLOBAL MARKET CALL: War & Peace & War

Jul 12, 2026 4 min read paid

In our March 4, 2026 QuickTakes, we wrote that the war between the US and Iran might last longer than widely expected. We suggested that any peace deal with Iran's government would effectively be vetoed by the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps simply by their threatening to attack ships sailing through the Strait of Hormuz. "These terrorists are likely to be hard to eradicate with just air power,

Ed Yardeni
Toby Hearst

GLOBAL MARKET CALL: AI Trade Depresses EM Trade

Jul 5, 2026 3 min read paid

Ed Yardeni
Toby Hearst

GLOBAL MARKET CALL: War & Peace

Jun 28, 2026 4 min read paid

During the Napoleonic Wars, British financier Nathan Mayer Rothschild allegedly said: "Buy on the sound of cannons, sell on the sound of trumpets." This has become a legendary contrarian investing maxim. It suggests you should buy stocks when war or panic causes markets to plummet ("cannons"), and sell to lock in profits when peace returns and market euphoria sets in ("trumpets"). The maxim seems

Ed Yardeni
Toby Hearst

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