Public Dr Ed's Video Webcast 2/13/23 Feb 15, 2023 1 min read Perversely, the financial markets’ vote of confidence in the Fed’s ability to subdue inflation without getting the economy into trouble represents a threat to those very efforts, in Fed officials’ eyes, loosening financial conditions as the Fed tightens them. So Fed officials have been trying to squelch investor optimism. Below is exclusive early access to Dr Ed's Webcast for paid members. This post and video will open Ed Yardeni
Public Dr Ed's Video Webcast 2/6/23 Feb 8, 2023 1 min read Last week brought plenty of affirmation for stock-market bulls, with lots of favorable data releases and a less hawkish-sounding Fed Chair Powell. The data depicted an economy that has not been landing at all but remaining quite airborne amid more signs of disinflation. Below is exclusive early access to Dr Ed's Webcast for paid members. This post and video will open to the public on a later date. Ed Yardeni
Public Dr Ed's Video Webcast 1/30/23 Feb 1, 2023 1 min read The global financial markets are reflecting expectations for an improved global economy, and the US stock market is siding with the optimists on the US economic outlook, us among them: We continue to see greater odds of a soft landing (60%) than a hard one (40%). Below is exclusive early access to Dr Ed's Webcast for paid members. This post and video will open to the public on Ed Yardeni
Public Dr Ed's Video Webcast 1/23/23 Jan 23, 2023 1 min read Brace yourself for December’s Leading Economic Indicators and Coincident Economic Indicators coming out today. They are likely to trigger another recession alarm. But we still see greater odds of a soft landing (60%) than a hard one (40%). Below is exclusive early access to Dr Ed's Webcast for paid members. This post and video will open to the public on a later date. What can the LEI Ed Yardeni
Public Dr Ed's Video Webcast 1/18/23 Jan 18, 2023 1 min read Consensus economic views seem to be mostly pessimistic. Big bank CEOs are preparing for a mild recession. Americans are skittish about a downturn, most economists project a recession, and lots of investment strategists remain bearish. But not us: Below is exclusive early access to Dr Ed's Webcast for paid members. This post and video will open to the public on a later date. We don’t foresee recessions Ed Yardeni
Public Dr Ed's Video Webcast 1/10/23 Jan 10, 2023 1 min read We still see greater odds that the economy will glide to a soft landing (60%) than plummet to a hard one (40%), which nearly everyone else expects. What might a soft landing look like? Below is exclusive early access to Dr Ed's Webcast for paid members. This post and video will open to the public on a later date. The happiest—and most contrary—of scenarios would be Ed Yardeni
Public Dr Ed's Video Webcast 1/3/23 Jan 3, 2023 1 min read With last year thankfully behind us, we take stock of what could go both wrong and right for the economy in 2023. We’re optimistic that 2023 will be better than 2022 for several reasons, but that’s a contrarian viewpoint. Below is exclusive early access to Dr Ed's Webcast for paid members. This post and video will open to the public on a later date. We maintain Ed Yardeni
Paid Dr Ed's Video Webcast 12/12/22 Dec 12, 2022 1 min read paid A few choice negative words about consumer spending prospects from a few high-profile bank CEOs tripped up the S&P 500 last week. Below is exclusive early access to Dr Ed's Webcast for paid members. This post and video will open to the public on a later date. Ed Yardeni
Public Dr Ed's Video Webcast 12/5/22 Dec 5, 2022 1 min read We’ll be glad to put this year behind us—pessimism reigned as inflation raged, the Fed tightened, and investors revalued stocks downward. But the resultant bear market was a mild one as bear markets go. Below is exclusive early access to Dr Ed's Webcast for paid members. This post and video will open to the public on a later date. If it ended on October 12, as Ed Yardeni
Public Dr Ed's Video Webcast 11/28/22 Nov 28, 2022 1 min read The consensus is now bracing for a 2023 recession that tempers inflation and ends the Fed’s reign of tightening but also depresses corporate earnings, suggesting more downside for stocks’ valuation multiples. We’re more optimistic, expecting Below is exclusive early access to Dr Ed's Webcast for paid members. This post and video will open to the public on a later date. We’re more optimistic, expecting no Ed Yardeni
Public Dr Ed's Video Webcast 11/14/22 Nov 14, 2022 1 min read Economic recessions invariably produce earnings recessions, but earnings slowdowns and downturns can occur without economic recessions: Nominal GDP and revenues growth can stay strong as profit margins narrow, causing earnings growth to falter. That’s what seems to be happening now, with the earnings weakness looking like that of a soft, not hard, landing. Below is exclusive early access to Dr Ed's Webcast for paid members. This post Ed Yardeni
Public Dr Ed's Video Webcast 11/7/22 Nov 7, 2022 1 min read For a variety of reasons, there’s a severe mismatch between the demand for and supply of labor in the US. That’s created a maelstrom in the market, with extraordinary levels of turnover: One third of payroll employees have quit their jobs over the past 12 months, most for higher-paying ones. That’s driving up wage inflation and driving down productivity. Below is exclusive early access to Dr Ed& Ed Yardeni