Ed Yardeni

Gold Is Shining More Brightly Than Ever Before

Sep 2, 2025 2 min read paid

We turned bullish on gold last year when the spot price of the shiny metal decisively rose above $2,000 per ounce (chart). We attributed this new bull market in gold to Russia's invasion of Ukraine in February 2022. In response, the United States and its allies froze the international reserves of Russia's central bank. That convinced the central banks of countries with autocratic governments, which

Ed Yardeni

ECONOMIC WEEK AHEAD: September 2 - 5

Sep 1, 2025 3 min read

This week is chock-a-block with data reports, all building up to Friday's pivotal employment report. The August jobs release will offer a reality check of sorts following July's surprisingly soft reading and significant downward revisions to results for May and June. It could determine whether the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) proceeds with a rate cut at its September 16-17 policy meeting. The July jobs data

Ed Yardeni
William Pesek

Market Call: What Could Possibly Go Wrong In September?

Aug 30, 2025 4 min read

September has a long history of being a tough month for the stock market. This has been particularly true over the past decade, based on the average year-to-date percentage change in the S&P 500 during Septembers (chart). But when September was weak in the past, it often provided buying opportunities for year-end rallies. So, might the latest top in the S&P 500 have been hit on

Ed Yardeni

DEEP DIVE: The Chair Has Spoken

Aug 29, 2025 7 min read

The following is an excerpt from our Morning Briefing dated August 22, 2025. The Fed I: Markets Hear Powell Cooing. We expected Fed Chair Jerome Powell to sound neither dovish nor hawkish when he spoke at the Fed’s Jackson Hole Symposium on Friday. We expected him to be owlish, expressing the need to wait and watch for further data before committing to another round of monetary policy easing. The

Ed Yardeni

Is Fed About To Stimulate A Hot Economy?

Aug 28, 2025 3 min read

The bull market in stocks is making everyone who owns stocks richer. Gallup reported that 62% of Americans were invested in the stock market at the end of 2024 (chart). That's the highest since the end of 2008. We think the bull market is having a significant positive wealth effect on consumers who own equities, more than offsetting the debt effect on them of rising credit delinquencies. At

Ed Yardeni

Update: Stay Home Versus Go Global

Aug 27, 2025 3 min read

Nvidia reported better-than-expected earnings and revenue after the stock market closed today. Revenue growth has now exceeded 50% for nine straight quarters. Nvidia is one of several mega-cap technology stocks that have fueled the bull market in the US, causing it to outperform overseas stock markets. The outperformance was briefly interrupted earlier this year, but the US market seems to be back on its winning track. We continue to recommend

Ed Yardeni

WEEKLY WEBCAST: The Chair Has Spoken

Aug 27, 2025 1 min read

Fed Chair Powell’s eagerly awaited speech at the Fed’s Jackson Hole Symposium on Friday fanned stock investors’ hope that the FOMC would lower the federal funds rate in September—despite Powell’s hedges and the fact that upcoming data releases will figure into the decision. Notably absent in his speech was mention of the Fed’s need to maintain financial system stability if it is to achieve either

Ed Yardeni

Economy Is Growing, While Job Indicators Remain Solid

Aug 26, 2025 2 min read

The monthly Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) survey includes the most timely monthly indicators of the labor market. August's survey was released today (chart). The jobs-plentiful series remained relatively high at 29.7%. The jobs-available series fell to 50.3%, which is above its average over time of 48.2%. That drop was matched by an uptick in the jobs-hard-to-get series to 20.0%. In our opinion, these stats

Ed Yardeni

Is the Bull Market In Stocks Finally Broadening?

Aug 25, 2025 3 min read

The Magnificent-7 stocks have been leading the charge of the current bull market that started on October 12, 2022. They are all in the Nasdaq 100, which is up 117.9% so far since the start of the bull market, beating all the other major US stock market indexes (chart). The Mag-7's market capitalization share of the S&P 500 has doubled during the current bull market

Ed Yardeni

ECONOMIC WEEK AHEAD: August 25-29

Aug 24, 2025 3 min read

Now that Fed Chair Jerome Powell is talking the talk of easing, markets are on the lookout for whether upcoming data are walking the walk. A Fed rate cut next month isn't a done deal, no matter what Powell hinted at last Friday at Jackson Hole. A lot can happen in a few weeks. Before the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meets September 16-17, policymakers will see a

Ed Yardeni
William Pesek

MARKET CALL: Stocks Discounting Fed Put

Aug 24, 2025 3 min read

Ever since the release of the weaker-than-expected July employment report at the start of this month, stock investors have been betting that the Fed Put is back in play and that it will probably be implemented at the FOMC's meeting on September 16-17. Fed Chair Jerome Powell had been pushing back against this notion since early this year by saying that the Fed is in no rush to

Ed Yardeni

DEEP DIVE: Stock Market Discounting Fed Put, Which The Economy Does Not Need

Aug 24, 2025 5 min read paid

The following is an excerpt from our Morning Briefing dated August 18, 2025. Exercising Fed Put Would Fuel Stock Market Meltup. Stock investors have been joyously discounting a Fed rate cut in September following the release of July’s weaker-than-expected employment report. The S&P 500 rose to yet another record high on Thursday. It is up 3.4% since the close on August 1—the day of the

Ed Yardeni

Page 1 of 123

Gold Is Shining More Brightly Than Ever Before

ECONOMIC WEEK AHEAD: September 2 - 5

Market Call: What Could Possibly Go Wrong In September?

DEEP DIVE: The Chair Has Spoken

Is Fed About To Stimulate A Hot Economy?

Update: Stay Home Versus Go Global

WEEKLY WEBCAST: The Chair Has Spoken

Economy Is Growing, While Job Indicators Remain Solid

Is the Bull Market In Stocks Finally Broadening?

ECONOMIC WEEK AHEAD: August 25-29

MARKET CALL: Stocks Discounting Fed Put

DEEP DIVE: Stock Market Discounting Fed Put, Which The Economy Does Not Need