Geopolitics

GEOPOLITICS: The Clock Is Ticking In The Middle East

Feb 27, 2026 3 min read

The US has assembled its largest military presence in the Middle East since 2003, including two aircraft carriers and F-22 stealth fighters. Indirect talks in Geneva between US envoys (Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner) and Iranian officials ended Thursday without a breakthrough. The Trump administration has warned of "drastic consequences" if Iran does not make significant nuclear concessions. Israel has opened bomb shelters and warned Lebanon that its

Ed Yardeni

Troubles In Tokyo & Nuuk Hit Stocks & Bonds

Jan 20, 2026 3 min read paid

What do Tokyo and Nuuk have in common? They are the capital cities of Japan and Greenland. They are the two epicenters of the shocks that hit stock and bond markets worldwide today. In Tokyo, bond yields are soaring, suggesting that a debt crisis may be underway. In Nuuk, the locals are siding with Denmark in their opposition to President Donald Trump's plan to acquire Greenland "one

Ed Yardeni

MARKET CALL: Don't Cry For Him, Venezuela

Jan 4, 2026 4 min read paid

We expected the first half of 2026 to be volatile for stocks. It's only January 4, and we can add Venezuela to our list of unsettling developments. Nicolás Maduro, the Venezuelan president captured by the United States on Saturday, is being held in a notorious Brooklyn jail. President Donald Trump said the US will "run" Venezuela. The geopolitical fallout could be troublesome. The Chinese government might

Ed Yardeni

Gold Is The New Bitcoin!

Oct 14, 2025 4 min read paid

Investors are mining for gold and rare earth minerals. The SPDR Gold Shares ETF (GLD) and the VanEck Rare Earth & Strategic Metals ETF (REMX) are up 57.3% and 104.4% ytd (Fig. 1 below). The trading volumes of both have increased sharply in recent weeks (Fig. 2 and Fig. 3). Both have been benefiting from rising geopolitical tensions between the US and both Russia and China. On October

Ed Yardeni

GOOD MARKET CALL: Gold

Oct 6, 2025 3 min read

From time to time, we will review and update some of our good market calls. We hope this provides a helpful perspective on our approach to market forecasting. Today, let's review and update our thoughts on the outlook for gold: (1) We first turned bullish on the price of gold on April 7, 2024. We noted that it was breaking out above $2000 per ounce to new record

Ed Yardeni

A New Day In The Middle East?

Jun 24, 2025 3 min read paid

Any day with a ceasefire in the Middle East is a good day for stocks. On Monday, President Donald Trump declared that the "12-Day War" between Israel and Iran is over. The S&P 500 rose 2.1% yesterday and today on that news to 6092.18 (chart). That's only 0.9% below the February 19 record high of 6144.15. The market rose even

Ed Yardeni

Ceasefire

Jun 23, 2025 3 min read

This morning, Iran launched a missile attack on the US military's Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar in retaliation for US airstrikes on Iranian nuclear facilities the previous day. The attack involved short- and medium-range ballistic missiles, with Qatar reporting that its air defenses intercepted most of them, and no casualties were reported. Earlier in the day, President Donald Trump thanked Iran for giving the United States advance

Ed Yardeni

MARKET CALL: Trump Says Iran's Nuke Program Is 'Obliterated' . . . What's Next?

Jun 22, 2025 3 min read

On Saturday night, the US attacked Iran's three nuclear sites in Fordow, Natanz, and Isfahan. President Donald Trump announced this in a social media post at 7:50 p.m. EST. In a short speech at 10:00 p.m., he said that Iran’s key nuclear sites were "completely and fully obliterated" by the strikes. He noted that there are many more sites in Iran

Ed Yardeni

Stop The World—We Want To Get Off!

May 7, 2025 3 min read paid

Ed Yardeni
William Pesek

Trump 2.0 and the Financial Markets

Nov 6, 2024 4 min read paid

Donald Trump's win and the Republican sweep of the House (probably) and the Senate (certainly) is consistent with our Roaring 2020s scenario. Indeed, it increases the odds that the good times will continue through the end of the decade and possibly into the 2030s. Stocks soared today on the widespread perception that Trump 2.0 will include a cut in the corporate tax rate and reductions in business

Ed Yardeni

Market Call: Sweep Stakes

Oct 27, 2024 3 min read paid

We still think that gridlock would be the most bullish outcome of the November 5 presidential and congressional elections, making it difficult for the next president to deliver on all the promises he or she made during their campaigns to win the White House. More than half of our Founding Fathers were lawyers. They designed a system of checks and balances that required lawyers to get anything done and even

Ed Yardeni

Geopolitical Hot Spots

Oct 15, 2024 3 min read paid

With the Fed in easing mode and US economic growth remaining resilient and even robust, we are still wondering what could possibly go wrong. We remain optimistic on the economic outlook and bullish on the outlook for stocks. We continue to monitor the geopolitical risks that might revive inflation and depress global growth. On Friday, JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon said that these risks are "treacherous and getting worse.

Ed Yardeni

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