The Fed’s monetary policy mandate requires consideration of both inflation and labor market conditions. If the former compels a rate hike next month, would the latter stand in the way? That’s the question of the hour after last week’s jobs report, with a headline that telegraphed “weakness.” Elias and Ed argue that the headline numbers looked deceptively weak because of calendar effects and World Cup related distortions. Indeed, most industries posted job gains. In short, the labor market is well balanced. So, no, it shouldn’t stand in the way of the Fed’s tightening in September.
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