paid Japan • 4 min read Risk On & Off Here & There As the world turns, so do risk-on and risk-off trades around the world. Some are for the short term and…
public Tariffs • 3 min read By The Shores Of Lake Geneva Here is how US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent characterized his negotiations with Chinese trade officials this past weekend: "We…
public China • 3 min read Year Of The Snake Stock prices soared today on a better-than-expected April US employment report and news that China is evaluating US overtures to…
public China • 2 min read Tit-For-Tat: The Opposite Of Panda Diplomacy The trade war between the US and China is heating up, increasing the risk that China will invade Taiwan. Let…
paid Gold • 2 min read Buying What Glitters A late-day rally sent the S&P 500 up 0.24% to a new record high of 6,130.…
paid China • 3 min read The Great (Yield) Fall Of China Today's Wall Street Journal reports: "Now, as Trump prepares for his second administration, American companies have largely…
paid China • 3 min read Whatever It Takes? China Is Stimulating, Again. There may soon be fewer jobs for economists in both the US and China. On Monday, December 23, Elon Musk…
paid Fed • 3 min read Is the Fed Inflating? Is China Deflating? Last Thursday, we wrote, "After today's PPI, we won't be surprised if Fed officials plant…
paid Manufacturing • 2 min read Manufacturing Indicators May Be Rebounding in US and China After languishing for the past couple years, manufacturing gauges in both the US and China improved in November. Could this…
paid China • 3 min read China: A Deflating Dragon Over the past three years, most American economists believed that a recession would be necessary to bring inflation down to…
paid Geopolitics • 3 min read Geopolitical Hot Spots With the Fed in easing mode and US economic growth remaining resilient and even robust, we are still wondering what…