paid S&P 500 • 2 min read Market Call: Refreshing Pause For Bulls & Reindeer The federal funds rate futures market is anticipating two 25bps cuts in the federal funds rate over the next 12…
paid Fiscal Policy • 3 min read Stock Prices Are Jumping Again After the stock market closed on Friday, Moody’s reduced the US government's credit rating from “stable” to “negative” citing…
paid Market Call • 2 min read Market Call: Investors Are Spooked Halloween is on Tuesday. Investors have been spooked since early August. They are still spooked by the widening federal deficit,…
public Market Call • 2 min read Market Call: Stop The World —We Want To Get Off! On December 23, 1776, Thomas Paine famously opined: "These are the times that try men's souls." He did so in…
paid Market Call • 2 min read Market Call: Latest Mideast War Raises Geopolitical Risks Hamas launched a coordinated surprise attack on Israel today. The timing suggests that Iran's mullahs instigated their surrogates in Gaza,…
public Market Call • 3 min read Market Call: The Wild Bunch Just after the S&P 500 nearly hit our year-end target of 4600 ahead of schedule on July 31, we…
paid Market Call • 2 min read Market Call: Powell Says Be Careful In his presser last Wednesday, Fed Chair Jerome Powell mentioned "careful" and "carefully" 16 times mostly to describe how the…
public Market Call • 2 min read Market Call: September Isn't Over Just Yet September is usually a nice month weather-wise. After the dog days of summer, the temperature starts to cool with occasional…
paid Market Call • 2 min read Market Call: Bond Vigilantes Calling The Shots For Stocks The S&P 500 has fluctuated around its 50-day moving average recently as the 10-year Treasury bond yield has done…
paid Market Call • 3 min read Market Call: "No, Mr. Bond, I Expect You To Die!" Does the Fed really want to see the yield curve "disinvert" with the 10-year Treasury bond yield (currently 4.26%…
paid S&P 500 • 3 min read Market Call: The Bond Vigilantes Are Saddling Up As we anticipated, the S&P 500 has dropped to its 50-day moving average (dma) on Friday (chart). It is…
paid Market Call • 2 min read Market Call: September Is Coming! The S&P 500 is down 2.4% from its bull market high of 4588.96 on July 31 through…