paid Employment • 2 min read S&P 500: Smooth Sailing to Another 2023 High Hooray! The US government won't default on its debts. There are plenty of jobs. Unit-labor-cost inflation is moderating. The banking…
paid Economy • 2 min read Rollercoaster Ride in the Bond Market At the start of this year, the widespread economic consensus was that a hard landing is coming. The consensus changed…
paid US Economy • 2 min read A Bowl of Mixed Nuts Today's batch of economic indicators was mixed, showing that the manufacturing economy remains weak, while the labor market remains strong.…
paid GDPNow • 1 min read Consumers Aren't In the Mood for a Recession The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth during Q4 is 4.4% today, up from 4.0%…
public US Economy • 1 min read No Recession In Services Following today's release of September's nonmanufacturing purchasing managers index (NM-PMI), the Atlanta Fed's GDPNow tracking model revised Q3's growth rate…
paid US Economy • 1 min read Mixed Messages From Manufacturing & Housing July was a good month for manufacturing and a bad one for the housing industry. Industrial production, which is one…
paid Recession • 1 min read Plenty of Sunshine In Q3's GDPNow & July's CPI There's lots of sunshine in the Atlanta Fed's GDPNow tracking model. Today's estimate shows that real GDP is rising at…
paid Leading Indicators • 2 min read Leading Indicators Up, GDP Revision Down We have a mix of good and bad news this morning for you. We will start with the good news:…
public GDPNow • 2 min read Mixed Indicators Showing Slowing Economic Growth We are seeing some very odd divergencies between the averages of the regional business surveys conducted by five Federal Reserve…
public Economy • 1 min read No Recession in GDPNow Tracking Model There’s no recession apparent in the May 27 update of the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow tracking model for Q2.…