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From Trump's Tariff-Postpone-Repeat to Court's Cease-and-Desist
In imposing his tariffs in early April, President Donald Trump called the trade deficit a national emergency that justified his…
Stock Market
The stock market is driven by two key variables: the earnings estimates of industry analysts and the valuation multiple that investors are will to pay for those expectations. These QuickTakes monitor the latest developments relevant to stock investors.
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MARKET CALL: Valuation Mojo Driving Stocks' Big Mo Rally
The meltup scenario is making a dramatic comeback. It was one of our three scenarios until March 24 when we…
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Recalibrating Our Forecasts As Stock Market Roars
Among our main concerns about Trump's Tariff Turmoil was that the drop in stock prices would have a…
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MARKET CALL: ‘Mission Control, We Have Thrust’
Today, we are lowering our subjective odds of a recession from 45% to 35% following last week's news…
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Damage Assessment
Stock prices fell sharply today in response to President Donald Trump's recent unseemly barrage of hostile tweets directed…
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MARKET CALL: Wall Street Is Main Street
Conspiracy theories are usually wrong even though they seem to explain a lot. The latest conspiracy theory floating on social…
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DEEP DIVE: Annihilation Days
💡This is a special advance release of Monday’s Morning Briefing, normally reserved for our institutional clients. Given recent developments,…
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Stock Vigilantes Declare: 'Mr. President, Tear Down This Tariff Wall!'
China imposed a 34% tariff on imports of US goods in retaliation for President Donald Trump's trade war…
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MARKET CALL: 'There Will Be Flexibility'
When President Donald Trump was asked on Friday about his tariff policies, he said: "I didn’t change my…
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Scared Cat Bounce?
The S&P 500 rebounded nicely today in the morning after falling into correction territory yesterday (chart). Was yesterday…
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The Trump Put Is Kaput!
Vertigo is a sensation of spinning or whirling such that the person or their surroundings appear to be moving. The…
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Stock Market Vigilantes On The Warpath
The Stock Market Vigilantes have spoken. They don't like tariffs, and they don't like mass firings…
