paid S&P 500 • 2 min read Calm Waters For Now The S&P 500 recovered nicely on Friday after it reacted badly to the morning's stronger-than-expected November…
public Recession • 2 min read Yield Curve Spread Signaling Rate Peak The yield curve spread between the 2-year US Treasury note and the 10-year US Treasury bond is a leading indictor…
public Bond Market • 1 min read Foreigners Still Piling Into US Dollar & Bonds The 10-year US Treasury bond yield dropped sharply from 4.25% on October 24 to 3.72% today. Recent CPI…
public Stock Market • 2 min read Going Fishing For Stock & Bond Market Bottoms Last Thursday’s lower-than-expected CPI inflation rate for October was greeted with a huge rally by stock and bond investors.…
paid Fed • 2 min read What Will Powell Say? Tomorrow afternoon, the FOMC is widely expected to increase the federal funds rate by 75bps to a range of 3.…
public Surveys • 1 min read Another Weak Regional Business Survey With the exception of the 2.6% (saar) increase in Q3's real GDP, the other more forward-looking economic…
paid Stock Market • 1 min read Stocks Float As 2-Year Yield & Dollar Sink The S&P 500 bottomed this morning around 10 a.m. about 1% below yesterday's close on…
paid Bond Market • 2 min read Trick Or Treat For U.S. Treasury Market? Halloween has come early to the US Treasury securities market. Fed officials have been scrambling in recent days to scare…
paid US Economy • 2 min read Loose Lips Sink Bonds & Stocks The members of the FOMC ("Federal Open Mouth Committee") continue to sink prices in the fixed-income markets. The…
paid Stock Market • 2 min read A Wild & Crazy Day The S&P 500 is back above the June 16 low of 3666. It plunged 2.4% today to…
public Inflation • 2 min read Rolling Inflation & Remarkable Reversal Day Today's reversal in stock and bond prices from down big to up big, following the release of September&…
public Stock Market • 1 min read The Stock Market's Latest Bungee Jump The S&P 500 fell 2.9% last week. Today, it rallied 2.6% to 3678.43, back above…