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Is The Service-Providing Economy Cooling Off?
Consumers have cut back on spending on goods because they went on a goods-buying binge on them during 2020 and…
Economy
The US economy tends to grow over time with occasional downturns. These QuickTakes examine the latest economic indicators to assess whether the economy is likely to remain on its upward course, or might stumble into a recession.
42 posts
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Regional Surveys Suggest Weak M-PMI
Bonds and stocks might rally tomorrow if the M-PMI is as weak as suggested by the regional business surveys conducted…
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The Economic Week Ahead: Sept. 19-23
It's a light week for economic releases in the US. The focus will be on the Fed. Wednesday will be…
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Consumers Have Nothing To Fear But The Future
Consumers are looking into their crystal balls and they don't like what they see. Even though the present still looks…
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More Signs of A Mid-Cycle Slowdown
The latest batch of economic indicators are in line with our mild recession outlook (a.k.a., a mid-cycle slowdown)…
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NY Fed Survey Shows Easing Pricing Pressures
The NY Fed's July business survey showed significant declines in the prices-paid and prices-received diffusion indexes . Six-month-ahead expectations are down…
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The Economic Week Ahead 7/18/22
The week ahead is a light one for economic indicators. Monday starts out with May's Treasury International Capital System data…
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A Growth Recession?
Following today's retail sales and industrial production reports, the Atlanta Fed's GDPNow tracking model revised real GDP growth down to…
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Jamie's Hurricane
The stock market is down this morning on worse-than-expected PPI inflation news, heightening fears of more aggressive Fed tightening and…
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The Rent Is Too D@mn High!
The Fed's ultra-easy monetary policies, in response to the pandemic, caused home prices to soar, and now rents are soaring.…
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Goldilocks & the Fed
Was today’s June employment release a Goldilocks report? Payroll employment rose 372,000, and wages increased 0.3%—not…
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Recession: To Be Or Not To Be?
The latest batch of leading economic indicators suggests that several coincident economic indicators might soon begin to fall. So we…
