Ed Yardeni

GLOBAL MARKETS CALL: 'Go Global' Getting Fried By Rising Fed Rate Hike Expectations

Jun 7, 2026 4 min read paid

Hot US data are pulling capital flows back home. The US share of the All Country World (ACW) MSCI is at 63.7%, well off the early-2025 peak of 67.4% but firming again. Europe’s share has slipped to 13.8% and Japan’s to 5.0% (chart). Emerging Markets’ share, at 12.3%, is near its cycle high. The ratio of the US MSCI to the ACW

Ed Yardeni
Toby Hearst

US MARKET CALL: June Swoon!

Jun 7, 2026 4 min read paid

On Wednesday, June 3, we titled our QuickTakes "June Swoon?" As it turned out, the question mark should have been an exclamation mark. On Friday, June 5, stocks swooned unmistakably. The S&P 500 closed at 7,383.74, down 2.64%. The Nasdaq and S&P 500 equal-weight indexes fell 4.77% and 1.45%, respectively. The catalyst was a stronger-than-expected payroll

Ed Yardeni
Toby Hearst

ECONOMIC WEEK AHEAD: June 8-12

Jun 7, 2026 4 min read

The week ahead is dominated by inflation prints. The May CPI (Wed) and PPI (Thu) top the calendar. From a consumer perspective, we will also see the NY Fed's consumer inflation expectations survey (Mon) and the University of Michigan’s preliminary sentiment release (Fri). The “Federal Open Mouth Committee” is in the blackout period ahead of next week's committee meeting—i.e., the talking Fed heads

Ed Yardeni
Toby Hearst

Employment Is Heating Up, But So Is Inflation

Jun 4, 2026 4 min read paid

Ed Yardeni
Elias Griepentrog

June Swoon?

Jun 3, 2026 4 min read

So far, the S&P 500 bottomed this year on March 30 in response to the latest Gulf War. Since then, Fabulous Earnings Momentum (FEMO) during the Q1 earnings reporting season fueled a remarkable 19.1% rally in the index, led by an amazing 44.5% increase in the S&P 500 Information Technology sector (chart). Yesterday, we raised the caution flag, suggesting a possible pullback over the

Ed Yardeni

WEEKLY WEBCAST: Fed Turning Hawkish

Jun 3, 2026 1 min read paid

Today, Dr Ed and Elias set out the case for the Fed to tighten sooner rather than later. Unlike the consensus, which doesn’t expect a rate hike until late this year at the earliest, we see the FOMC raising the federal funds rate in July, after pivoting to a tightening bias at its meeting this month. That would be appropriate given the resilient economy, stable labor market, and rising

Ed Yardeni

Is Wall Street's AI Boom Spreading To Main Street? Nothing To Fear But FOMO?

Jun 2, 2026 4 min read paid

The S&P 500 rose to yet another record high today, rising above 7600 for the first time. On May 11, we raised our year-end S&P 500 target from 7700 to 8250, still the highest forecast on Wall Street. We did so because of the strength and breadth of S&P 500 earnings during the Q1 earnings reporting season. That led us to conclude that

Ed Yardeni
Elias Griepentrog

Is There Enough IPO Money On Planet Earth To Fund SpaceX?

Jun 1, 2026 4 min read

The mega IPOs are coming. SpaceX is set to go public on June 12, raising $75 billion to $80 billion at a market valuation of up to $1.8 trillion. It will be the largest equity offering in history. Then, Anthropic and OpenAI are expected to go public with market capitalizations of $1 trillion to $1.75 trillion each. Fears are mounting that the "AI-3" IPOs will

Ed Yardeni
Toby Hearst
Joe Abbott

CONSUMER STAPLES: High P/E With Low Earnings Growth

May 31, 2026 4 min read paid

We recommend an underweight position in the S&P 500 Consumer Staples sector. At first glance, the sector looks fine. Its stock price index is near a record high (chart). Consumer Staples could turn out to be a haven if AI exuberance is fueling a tech bubble that bursts. On the other hand, Consumer Staples is up 6.5% ytd, ranking 7th among the 11 S&P 500

Ed Yardeni
Toby Hearst

GLOBAL MARKET CALL: 'Go Global' Should Outperform When Strait Reopens

May 31, 2026 4 min read paid

Our call to Go Global rather than Stay Home has paid off so far this year, despite the latest war in the Middle East, which boosted Stay Home, especially in March. However, Go Global was mostly driven by the AI trade in South Korea and Taiwan. The Emerging Markets MSCI ETF (EEM) is up 25.4% ytd against 10.9% for the S&P 500. Moreover, we recommended staying

Ed Yardeni
Toby Hearst

ECONOMIC WEEK AHEAD: JUNE 1-5

May 30, 2026 4 min read

The S&P 500 climbed to another record high on Friday, closing at 7,580.05. Fabulous earnings momentum (FEMO) and falling oil prices boosted stock prices. Brent crude settled at $92.05 a barrel, the lowest weekly close since April 17. Axios reports that the US and Iran have reached a ceasefire-extension deal, pending President Trump's approval. The odds that the US blockade of the

Ed Yardeni
Toby Hearst

US MARKET CALL: FEMO-Driven Stock Market Meltup

May 30, 2026 5 min read

As stock prices continue to soar, fears of an AI bubble are increasing. The tech bubble of the 1990s was driven by fear of missing out (FOMO). This time, fabulous earnings momentum (FEMO) is driving tech stock prices higher. An earnings-led meltup like this should be more sustainable than a P/E-led meltup fueled by irrational exuberance. That’s especially true of FEMO meltups, like this one, that

Ed Yardeni
Toby Hearst

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