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Strikes and Shutdowns and Bond Yields, Oh My!
The stock market held up surprisingly well today under the circumstances: The UAW strike is shutting down more auto production.…
Bond Market
34 posts
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Bond Yield Climbs to 4.50% As Yield Curve Is Disinverting.
The Fed's hawkish pause, announced on Wednesday afternoon, has lifted the 10-year US Treasury yield to 4.50% this evening.…
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FOMC's Message: High For Longer
The FOMC’s latest Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) released today shows that the median forecast of the federal funds…
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Canada's Inflation Spooks Bonds Around the World
Canada's CPI inflation rate in August jumped to 4.0% from 3.3% in July on higher gasoline prices. Shelter…
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Market Call: Waiting For The Verdict
The S&P 500 has been marking time recently around its 50-day moving average waiting for a verdict (chart). The…
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Bond Prices Go Drip, Drip, Drip
The 10-year US Treasury bond yield rose above 4.00% at the beginning of August on better-than-expected economic data. It…
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Bond Vigilantes Running Into Some Resistance
The 10-year US Treasury bond yield continues to run into resistance around 4.25%, which was last year's high (chart)…
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Uncle Sam Downgrade Raises Caution Flag
In yesterday's QT, we noted that the 10-year Treasury bond yield was back just over 4.00% and that this…
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Sunny Day
Today was a sunny day for stocks and bonds following a few stormy days. That's even though two Federal Reserve…
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What's Driving Bond Yields?
Two of our favorite technical indicators for the 10-year Treasury bond yield are currently bullish. The yield tends to be…
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Rollercoaster Ride in the Bond Market
At the start of this year, the widespread economic consensus was that a hard landing is coming. The consensus changed…
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In Government We Trust
Over the past 12 months through January, the federal budget deficit totaled "only" $1.6 trillion. That's down from over…
