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Less Inflation & Growth In Three Regional Surveys
We now have three business surveys for January conducted by the NY, Philly, and Richmond Fed district banks. Collectively, they…
US Economy
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Surveys Say NY & Philly Manufacturing Weak
Stock prices tanked yesterday following reports showing sharp declines in December's retail sales and industrial production. As a result, the…
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A Bowl of Mixed Nuts
Today's batch of economic indicators was mixed, showing that the manufacturing economy remains weak, while the labor market remains strong.…
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Running Out of Money?
Monetarists seem to be making a comeback, and they are sounding the alarm that the recent weakness in the M2…
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Loose Lips Sink Bonds & Stocks
The members of the FOMC ("Federal Open Mouth Committee") continue to sink prices in the fixed-income markets. The 2-year Treasury…
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Consumers Are Still Consuming
So far, consumers haven’t read the recession memo. They are spending freely, according to MasterCard SpendingPulse, which found that…
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No Recession In Services
Following today's release of September's nonmanufacturing purchasing managers index (NM-PMI), the Atlanta Fed's GDPNow tracking model revised Q3's growth rate…
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Slow Moving Economy
August's industrial production and inflation-adjusted retail sales reports today show that the US economy is growing, but just barely. The…
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CPI Tends To Overstate Inflation Relative To PCED
August's CPI unnerved the stock market because its core inflation rate was higher than expected. August's PCED will be released…
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Inflation Shocks The Markets
August's CPI report shocked the financial markets. It was widely expected to confirm that inflation peaked around June based on…
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The Economic Week Ahead, September 12-16
It's another action packed week ahead. On the inflation front, we are expecting that, on Monday, the FRB-NY survey of…
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One-Week Winning Streak
The DJIA, Nasdaq, and S&P 500 snapped a three-week losing streak today. Why? After all, on Thursday, Fed Chair…
